Start with the market
See the reference price calculated from the market, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Independent football odds analysis
Know the fair price
before you bet.
We turn the sharpest betting market into a fair price for every match, compare it with dozens of bookmakers and flag the prices that beat it. Since 26 September 2026 the first flag on each match is recorded with a sealed fingerprint when it appears and scored in public, losses included.
Free to use · PRO (from €9 a month) opens soon · 18+ · No promises of profit.
Results in the openExplore the track record ↗
Live record — flags recorded when shown, since 26 Sep 2026
- Settled flags
- 61
- CLV at signal
- +0.4%
- Realizable CLV
- +0.6%
- Return (ROI)
- —
Too few live results to judge yet (61 settled). CLV is shown from the first flag; ROI from 100.
Backtest — reconstructed from stored prices, flags detected 8 Jun – 26 Sep 2026
- Settled flags
- 3,085
- CLV at signal
- +1.9%
- Realizable CLV
- +0.8%
- Return (ROI)
- +2.2%
Live figures count only flags recorded at the moment the site showed them. Backtest figures replay today’s rule on the prices we had stored at the time; they were reconstructed afterwards, so read them as context, not as a verified record. Past results do not guarantee future results. Since 26 September 2026 each match’s first flag is recorded with a sealed fingerprint when it appears; the public record is copied daily (04:40 UTC) to a GitHub log with OpenTimestamps.
The match board
Live value matches
The biggest gaps between the fair price and a bookmaker — Edge Score highest first.
Nothing in this bucket right now — the honest answer is to pass.
No selection meets this filter right now. You can still inspect the full match board.
All matches →Higher-probability outcomes that still beat the fair price — value with a likelier result.
Nothing in this bucket right now — the honest answer is to pass.
No selection meets this filter right now. You can still inspect the full match board.
All matches →Micro-edges under 1.5% — watch the price, not yet an actionable recommendation.
Nothing in this bucket right now — the honest answer is to pass.
No selection meets this filter right now. You can still inspect the full match board.
All matches →Free and PRO
Check everything for free. PRO, for the details before kick-off, opens soon.
Free · 0 €
- The full public track record, results and CLV
- Every match with probabilities, form and context
- See where value was detected
- The free pick of the day, in full
- One free reveal a day (free account)
PRO · €9/month
- Every value opportunity before kick-off: selection, fair odds, best price, edge
- Best bookmaker price against the fair line on every match
- Instant Telegram alerts when value appears
- Filters and sorting by edge, probability, odds and league
18+ only. TipsAudit is an analysis and information service, not a bookmaker. Betting involves risk; bet only what you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
How it works
Understand a price before you act.
Compare the offer
Check the available bookmaker price, the selection and when the price was observed.
Read the full audit
Review the context and limitations. Follow the public results, including the losses.
Tipster Audit
Is your tipster actually any good?
We audit public tipsters the same way we audit ourselves: every pick against the closing line, losses included. Paid channels, free channels, big names.
Blog
Latest from the audit desk
01
Why bookmakers limit winning accounts, and what our price data says about it
Soft bookmakers restrict accounts that beat their prices; sharp bookmakers and exchanges do not need to. What triggers a limit, wh...
02We closed our Betfair value-betting experiment after 262 bets. Here is the autopsy, including the number we got wrong.
TIPS-EXP-002 ran our value signals against real Betfair prices for two months in dry-run. It technically passed its own gate. We a...
03Are free football prediction sites accurate? We started measuring them, in public
Every day, sites like Statarea and Zulubet publish hundreds of free 1X2 predictions. Almost nobody checks them afterwards. We now...
TipsAudit in brief
What is TipsAudit?
An independent football betting audit. For every tracked match it publishes the fair odds (the sharp market with the bookmaker's margin removed) and flags bookmaker prices above that line. Everything is graded against the closing line and published, losses included. It has no bookmaker affiliations and has published its record since 8 Jun 2026.
Is TipsAudit a tipster or a bookmaker?
Neither. It takes no bets, sells no picks and never promises profit. We built about 50 prediction models and none beat the sharp market after the margin, so the site measures prices instead of selling opinions.
What does the TipsAudit track record show?
5,614 football predictions logged before kick-off since 8 Jun 2026; 5,301 settled; the displayed pick won 71.9% of the time; average closing line value -0.8%. Value flags recorded live since 26 Sep 2026: 61 settled, average CLV at signal +0.38%.
Can TipsAudit tell me whether a tipster is legit?
47 public tipster channels tracked; 7 have at least 15 settled picks, enough for a verdict, and 5 of those beat the closing line on average. Each profile shows the measured win rate, ROI and closing line value next to what the tipster claims.
How can I check TipsAudit's own numbers?
Predictions are logged before kick-off, published daily to a public Git repository and anchored with OpenTimestamps. The full dataset is free to download (CC-BY 4.0) and every correction is dated on the corrections page.